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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

Created

Wed Jan 06 00:57:52 +0000 2021

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459

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33

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The key area of uncertainty is the election day vote. So far we only have 22k election day votes. They can do better with what's left — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The key question: how representative is the vote? Can GOP run ahead of what's left, even though they've run behind in what's counted? We try and control for that demographically, but you never know — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One minor thing to point out about our log. The 'expected' is what the needle expected heading into the update, not what the baseline was at the beginning of the night. So, the greater stability now is a reflection of the needle figuring things out https://t.co/i2oRolXWfk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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