Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To be precise, so far Election Day turnout is 17% higher than expected (overall expected 1.15m iirc) but it's also 7 pts more Dem. But we're talking about a mere 644 votes so please don't read into this--just going deep on a small update to explain how it works — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're starting to get some votes and most of it is early and absentee votes, where Democrats were expected to fare well. In our view, Dems faring a hair better than expected in the absentee vote, but the big question mark is the Election Day vote and we still have very little — PolitiTweet.org