Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Wed Jan 06 00:19:40 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To be precise, so far Election Day turnout is 17% higher than expected (overall expected 1.15m iirc) but it's also 7 pts more Dem. But we're talking about a mere 644 votes so please don't read into this--just going deep on a small update to explain how it works — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm not going to play by play each update, but take this one. Dems did better than expected in these most recent votes, but est nudged back toward Perdue. What you can't see (and maybe we should add) is that the Election Day turnout there was higher than expected https://t.co/9Rxcpynfqh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You can track how our estimates by method evolve here https://t.co/Ax5DHYue4v — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated