Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Tue Jan 05 23:57:46 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But this is not a regularly scheduled election, and you can make up a 2 point deficit on turnout in this context. You can get an AL Senate special result that just wouldn't have happened if it had been scheduled in Nov 2018 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If this was regularly scheduled, we'd probably just call the clear GOP favorite. We had a 'perfect' poll of 5 million Georgians in November, and they favored Perdue. It's very hard to makeup a 2 point deficit on turnout, especially for the Democrats, in a high turnout race — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So far, Democrats have shown a strong hand. At every point, whether it's the early vote or the DeKalb numbers today, you can look at the Democratic numbers and say, 'wow' if they were going to win maybe that's what it would look like — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021 Hibernated