Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Tue Jan 05 23:57:10 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If this was regularly scheduled, we'd probably just call the clear GOP favorite. We had a 'perfect' poll of 5 million Georgians in November, and they favored Perdue. It's very hard to makeup a 2 point deficit on turnout, especially for the Democrats, in a high turnout race — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A few thoughts as we head into the polls closing. Let me start with the very most obvious one: this is not a regularly scheduled election, and that always makes it harder to predict — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But this is not a regularly scheduled election, and you can make up a 2 point deficit on turnout in this context. You can get an AL Senate special result that just wouldn't have happened if it had been scheduled in Nov 2018 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2021 Hibernated