Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Dec 16 15:14:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And I should note that there are other confounding factors to keep in mind. There are a bunch of holidays before this election that didn't exist before the general. I'm make a rare prediction and posit that early voting will be down on Christmas compared to the equiv day from Oct — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Days 1&2 were the only weekdays that the Dems won in the general, so if higher turnout keeps up on GOP-friendly days *and* if the GOP keeps outperforming its vote share, then we could revisit this interpretation by the end of early voting. But for now, better to wait and see — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We also have absentee requests and ballots. That whole process is lagging the general, simply because there's less lead time for this race than the general. How that shifts from the general and how that interacts with early voting is an open question still — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 16, 2020 Hibernated