Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Dec 07 15:38:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Even if the partisan composition of the electorate was going to be exactly the same as the general, I don't think it's realistic to think the absentee share of the special electorate would look as it did in the general, given how much longer Dems had to sign up for the general — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We could get some decent signal on changes in turnout with advance voting data, though tbh the absentee voting surge for the general will make it more difficult to parse this than you might think — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My expectation is that Dems will do better in-person early vote v. the general, on the assumption many general election absentee voters will still prefer to vote in advance. But we'll have to wait and see; it won't be quite as straightforward of a comparison as I'd dream — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2020 Hibernated