Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 12, 2022

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Wed Dec 02 18:58:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@zachacrowell @jon_m_rob @blfraga i think the difference on ours is < .5, so i'm not sure there's enough precision to know if there's a difference here. the turnout rate by race does seem consistent with a decline in black share with a more precise account, tho idk their denoms — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We have three kinds of data: --our survey responses (we call off the file, so we can compare voter file v. poll race) --the commercial modeling by L2, our voter file vendor --our own modeling, mainly based on the black share of an unknown voters' precinct https://t.co/qfTpmOnZto — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn What's the data at your disposal?

Posted Dec. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos @blfraga yes--the chart in the original article just uses the GA SOS data without imputation, though i do 'use' the L2 data for analysis — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 2, 2020 Hibernated