Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sun Nov 29 15:25:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We have *some* precise data. We have exact results by county and precinct. We have voter file turnout data of varying quality. This can help us say a few broad things, like changes turnout and shifts that correlate with geography — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're talking about, what, a ~2 pt swing nationwide and in many of the critical battleground states? Without fantastic data, it's just too small for us to decompose that modest movement in terms of turnout, changes in the composition of eligible voters, changes in attitudes, etc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

With this data, we can see that Biden gained in well-educated suburbs, and especially traditionally GOP ones like ATL/KS/DAL/IND. We can say that Trump did well in Latino areas. We can say black turnout growth lagged non-black turnout surge, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated