Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sun Nov 29 15:23:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're talking about, what, a ~2 pt swing nationwide and in many of the critical battleground states? Without fantastic data, it's just too small for us to decompose that modest movement in terms of turnout, changes in the composition of eligible voters, changes in attitudes, etc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Obviously, the election outcome is quite a bit different than in 2016--at least for the purposes of determining control of government. But from the standpoint of the numbers, this was just not a very different election from 2016 in many of the states that matter most--like PA/WI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We have *some* precise data. We have exact results by county and precinct. We have voter file turnout data of varying quality. This can help us say a few broad things, like changes turnout and shifts that correlate with geography — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 29, 2020 Hibernated