Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Nov 18 15:35:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, none of this means that the Democrats are clearly favored to win or something. GOP outvoted Dems in both Senate races in the general. But I think Dem chances are being downgraded from ok to a pipedream for reasons that aren't true anymore, even if they were a decade ago — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The 2018 runoff isn't exactly a best case for Democrats. Turnout fell to ~35% of the 2018 general election. I don't think we expect such a severe dropoff in this runoff. And in this case, a Black candidate is at the top of the ticket--so it's the reverse of 08/18 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And I think the new dynamics, post-2020 general, are ... murky? Trump is still dominating the news. GOP is out there claiming the election was stolen, even though the GOPers ran ahead of Trump in part by winning some Biden folks who can't be too pleased not to be taken seriously — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated