Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Nov 18 13:30:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Times/Siena data doesn't really show any meaningful difference in vote choice between those with a 2016 or a 2020 record of voting. Here's the difference by group White -.4 Black -.8 Hispanic +.6 Asian +1.5 Other -1.4 Unknown -1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Deleted Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, the Times/Siena poll can help us here as well. We know whether our respondents voted, based on the same vote history data. So we can see whether the folks in a given racial group who voted in '16 are much different than those who voted in 2020 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Times/Siena data doesn't show any meaningful difference between those with a 2016 or a 2020 record of voting, within each racial group. Here, a positive number means Biden did better among 2020 vt than 2016 White -.4 Black -.8 Hispanic +.6 Asian +1.5 Other -1.4 Unknown -1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated