Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Nov 18 13:10:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So we have the same basic story as the statewide data, though with the Black share of the electorate holding up somewhat better and a larger decline in the white share of the electorate. This is mainly attributable to demographic changes — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

According to the state's vote history data, the composition of the electorate by race/ethnicity in 2016-->2020 is as follows: White 53.5 --> 50.1 Black 31.5 --> 31.2 Asian 2.4 --> 3.7 Hispanic 2.9 --> 3.9 Other 1.5 --> 2 Unknown 8.2 --> 8.7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In these counties, the white share of registered voters fell from 48.1 to 44.4 since 2016--or about the same pace as the overall electorate. So that tells you that most of the decline is due to demographic shifts, not changes in differential turnout by race — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Hibernated