Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Fri Nov 13 14:23:48 +0000 2020

Likes

132

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Right now, Biden's up ~60k and there are another ~40k regular absentees. So getting into the 75-80k range before provisionals/post-election absentees is straightforward, even if we conservatively assume that a disproportionate share of remaining absentees will be rejected — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 13, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think that's still a pretty good guess, though getting from Biden +75/80k to 100k depends on two kinds of hazy votes that may be worse (or better) for Biden than I've roughly penciled-in: the 10k late absentees and provisional ballots https://t.co/T8rIKic2xi — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn @SeanTrende @JMilesColeman A couple days ago you said you thought Biden was on track to win PA by around… https://t.co/Z5dzdWgTVG

Posted Nov. 13, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

From there, we've got --10k late absentees--which I'd expect to be good (say 2-1) but maybe not amazing for Biden, since Dems disproportionately returned their ballots early. -- ~70k uncounted provisionals, very disproportionately in Dem areas — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 13, 2020 Hibernated