Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Nov 07 22:07:11 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And indeed, something very different did happen there--at least with respect to either 2016, our expectations, and controlling for demographics. https://t.co/WmEezG9qqf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The sequence is key. Early on, Trump beat our expectations basically everywhere in NC/FL, and black turnout in rural GA was meh. We then had to wait a while for big numbers from Atlanta, which eventually made clear something very different happened there https://t.co/P8LT2zAdy4 — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Can you explain what data the needle was interpreting to project a close race in Georgia?

Posted Nov. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If the sequence was different, you can imagine that we would have quickly seen what was happening in Georgia, but might have wrongly believed that Biden was going to do better than he did in CLT/Raleigh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 7, 2020 Hibernated