Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Nov 02 16:03:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's really hard to design a poll around nailing the 3/4% of the electorate that's Cuban Hispanic, or the 3% of the electorate in the white, rural Panhandle counties. If you're off there, good luck getting out of it by weighting up Puerto Ricans or Midwestern retirees — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I do think there are real reasons why Florida is super tough for polling. It's super diverse, and the GOP depends on big strength among tiny groups who aren't always easy to sample and arguably even harder to weight on — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

OTOH, I do think it's a stretch to argue that we're trapped in 2018's polling error--and the Dems did nearly win it that year! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated