Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 24 22:41:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Our voter file vendor (L2) classified these Biden 82, Trump 18 respondents as Dem 42, GOP 37. I'm not trying to be critical of either firm; there's just not much you can do to reliably identify partisan voters in a state without partisan data and limited geo/demo polarization — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot of people are asking about TargetSmart modeling, which shows a tight race in partisan balloting. The problem, as I've alluded to already in this thread, is that there's not really any good data (until mail voting lol) for identifying partisans in Wisconsin — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We've slowly been building up our own models in these states as we collect more data. Back in our first poll of WI-1 in '18, before we ever had any WI data, you can see how mediocre they were https://t.co/ItVaezHiTY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated