Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 24 22:40:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot of people are asking about TargetSmart modeling, which shows a tight race in partisan balloting. The problem, as I've alluded to already in this thread, is that there's not really any good data (until mail voting lol) for identifying partisans in Wisconsin — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Because nearly as many Democrats voted as Republicans, so it's not very useful. Honestly, based on our data, I'd guess the 2016 primary electorate in WI voted Clinton, even though D>R ballot, with so many college grad GOPers voting Clinton later https://t.co/NX838KVA6i — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Why not use the 16 primary?

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Our voter file vendor (L2) classified these Biden 82, Trump 18 respondents as Dem 42, GOP 37. I'm not trying to be critical of either firm; there's just not much you can do to reliably identify partisan voters in a state without partisan data and limited geo/demo polarization — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated