Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's also important think about the difference between what *we* know and what the model knows. We know that there's nothing about this election that will lead Biden to win back the white Deep South. These models don't know that — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To take a more recent example, *we* knew that Obama had cataclysmic downside risk in WV in '08 that was negatively correlated with the country. The model didn't know it was any likelier or less likely than usual. But that possibility still has to remain — PolitiTweet.org