Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 11:34:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, extend this problem to the rest of the US, where voters don't say their race when they register. Our voter file based race variables elsewhere are weaker: they're modeled, not self-reported But if we weight to census targets, will we be biased toward Dems--and not know it? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I wasn't clear: it is out of the question. 30% of GA RVs are black when they registered. That's a *fact*, and you can look it up on GA SOS website. If we weighted on the Census, then our RVs would be 32% black when they registered. That means it's wrong https://t.co/BuzzhghCjI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In a state with a lot of Hispanic voters, it might be the exact opposite! If there's acquiescence bias toward Hispanic ID in our surveys, and we weight it *down* to the census, then we'd have too few Hispanics! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated