Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 11:31:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I wasn't clear: it is out of the question. 30% of GA RVs are black when they registered. That's a *fact*, and you can look it up on GA SOS website. If we weighted on the Census, then our RVs would be 32% black when they registered. That means it's wrong https://t.co/BuzzhghCjI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And interestingly, the people who were white on the voter file, but *didn't* say they were white were even *more* for Trump than those who did call themselves white. So that also throws a wrench in the idea that we're getting the wrong people or something — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, extend this problem to the rest of the US, where voters don't say their race when they register. Our voter file based race variables elsewhere are weaker: they're modeled, not self-reported But if we weight to census targets, will we be biased toward Dems--and not know it? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated