Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 11:11:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now let's compare to the CPS voter reg. estimate for RVs in 2018. Here, it's white, non-Hispanic 61, Black 33 (any race), Hisp 3. Here's our RVs by self-report race again, but here dropping DK for a more direct comp: White 60, Black 30 (any race for comp), Hisp 6. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Let's take GA, because it's recent and you can see the data on the GA SOS website yourself. Our RVs by voter file race: W54, B30, H3, O5, Unknown 9 Our RVs by self-report race: W54, B28, H6, O6, DK5 So same people, but answering the question differently w/dif settings — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This pattern exists everywhere in the South (SC, GA, NC, FL) where we can weight off of voter file-based race: --More self-rpt Hispanic voters than Census (but right amount by voter file var) --Fewer self-rpt Black voters than Census (but right amount by voter file var) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated