Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 10:55:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're really locked into like 90% of our design, but at this stage there are two things that I really agonize over: --weighting on self-reported race --everything having to do with early voting data — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If PA wasn't the most important state, we wouldn't have to think too hard about all of this and we could just split the difference and declare, Biden+9 nationally and so on. But it is that important, so parsing out just how good those PA polls really are for Biden is important — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Weighting on self-reported race is a ... 100% standard methodological decision that's employed by appx. 99% of pollsters. But as I look at our data in NC/SC/FL/GA, where the voter reg form includes a question about race, I'm left with *a lot* of pause about using it everywhere — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated