Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sun Oct 18 19:28:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@zackryanfrank72 @Barnes_Law @Politics_Polls @YouGovAmerica @CBSNewsPoll but to be clear: this approach provides ~no additional insight into who will win beyond the topline poll result. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@zackryanfrank72 @Barnes_Law @Politics_Polls @YouGovAmerica @CBSNewsPoll if the polls are wrong about the winner, this method will also be wrong about the winner--as it was in 2016. but it will probably get the gap between early and election day about right, as it did then. you can nudge everything a few points to the right if you don't buy the polls — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, I'd posit that if the Trump voters were lying, that we'd see a lot of GOP primary voters / reg. GOP saying they were voting for Biden (as we know the reg/vt hist of our respondents; not subject to lying). But we don't see that. https://t.co/uFYCWx400l — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn what to make of Trump supporters’ claim that large numbers of Trump voters are lying to pollsters?

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated