
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@zackryanfrank72 @Barnes_Law @Politics_Polls @YouGovAmerica @CBSNewsPoll if the polls are wrong about the winner, this method will also be wrong about the winner--as it was in 2016. but it will probably get the gap between early and election day about right, as it did then. you can nudge everything a few points to the right if you don't buy the polls — PolitiTweet.org