Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Sat Oct 17 15:32:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, it's worth thinking about why the Ralston/NV-based predictions tend to hold up, while it can be embarrassing elsewhere. I think there are two basic reasons https://t.co/dlPNShttcc — PolitiTweet.org

Early vote trends are not going to tell us who is going to win. (Maybe Ralston exception.) If you are tempted to us… https://t.co/or3sTjPlTN

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @SienaResearch: The New York Times / Siena College Battleground Polling so far. https://t.co/1esmlctzWe — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

1: The relationship between party registration and presidential vote has stayed tight there. If the electorate is D+5, they often win by 5! Simple, but it's not true in a lot of places. Worse still, that relationship has changed a lot in many states: your old rules don't work — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated