Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Oct 03 15:27:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Of the two results, the biggest surprise was probably Florida, where we found Biden+5 with a R+4 sample. This is a fully updated voter file that reflects some meaningful GOP registration gains in the states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The shift, though, would be material if confirmed and it was statistically significant, controlling for the demographic and political variables used in weighting. That said, it's still just one day of interviews. We'll have to wait and see here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's just a subsample, so big MoEs here, but we found no evidence of the big Trump gains among Hispanic voters in Florida or in Miami-Dade County. Biden even narrowly led a (very small) sample of Cuban voters; they were R 47-28 by registration. Again, small samples but... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated