Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Sat Oct 03 15:26:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The shift, though, would be material if confirmed and it was statistically significant, controlling for the demographic and political variables used in weighting. That said, it's still just one day of interviews. We'll have to wait and see here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In an analysis of interviews conducted yesterday, including in Arizona (where a poll is ongoing), there was modest evidence of a shift in Joe Biden's direction after Trump's COVID diagnosis. That said, one day of interviews is not nearly enough to reach any firm conclusions — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Of the two results, the biggest surprise was probably Florida, where we found Biden+5 with a R+4 sample. This is a fully updated voter file that reflects some meaningful GOP registration gains in the states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 3, 2020 Hibernated