Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Oct 01 19:24:44 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @SeanTrende @DavidNir @kkondik @donnermaps not all of them, and the way that they do varies. but the responses still make it clear that there's movement that we don't always see in some other polls https://t.co/e9NYwxisfU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanTrende @DavidNir @jon_m_rob @kkondik @donnermaps And other polls do show some volatility, despite panels/recalled vote weighting options. RAND '12. USC in '16. Pew ATP '20. They do show some real change, sometimes big real change. How much of our view of 'no change' depends on idiosyncratic samples? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @SeanTrende @DavidNir @kkondik @donnermaps i just don't see the logic of assuming that there's no change if you don't get the result right. it's certainly *possible* that it's just intercept shift/bias. but i don't see why you'd get to feel confident about it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2020 Hibernated