Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Thu Sep 24 10:14:30 +0000 2020

Likes

291

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our experience, an LV model that incorporates vote history outperform self-reported vote--even by a lot. But I have to say, fairly emphatically, that Texas was not one of those states in 2018, probably because there have been so few competitive elections there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Texas poll was a bit unusual for our surveys in two respects that are worth noting. 1) Biden and Trump were tied among voters who said they were almost certain or very likely to vote, which is a pretty common LV screen for other pollsters — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So, at least from the perspective of the way we think about defining the likely electorate, Texas is a state where turnout is particularly uncertain and the upside is likely on the side of Mr. Biden. It's something we may think about tailoring a bit more in the future — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated