Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Sep 24 10:13:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Texas poll was a bit unusual for our surveys in two respects that are worth noting. 1) Biden and Trump were tied among voters who said they were almost certain or very likely to vote, which is a pretty common LV screen for other pollsters — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Democrats also appear competitive in Senate races in all three states, with a lot of undecided voters: TX: Cornyn 43, Hegar 37 GA: Perdue 41, Ossoff 38 GA special: Loeffler 23, Warnock/Collins 19 Iowa: Greenfield 42, Ernst 40 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our experience, an LV model that incorporates vote history outperform self-reported vote--even by a lot. But I have to say, fairly emphatically, that Texas was not one of those states in 2018, probably because there have been so few competitive elections there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated