Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And already in mail voting requests, usually a high turnout group of voters, there are some states where ~15% of the requests are from 2016 nonvoters. If your assumption is that the 2020 electorate = everyone from 2020 plus a few, that's just not the way elections work — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In general, the churn is focused on the Dem side. Young, nonwhite voters drop out at disproportionate rates, pbly just due to avg turnout and mobility, but also *join* the electorate at disproportionate rates. That's true even when young/nonwhite turnout go up. — PolitiTweet.org