Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Sep 11 21:26:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As a general rule, our polls fared quite well in 2018 but our results in the heavily Hispanic southwest were not nearly so good. Not all of them. But the record there was plainly worse than in the rest of the country, where the average bias was ~0 and average error < 3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I wouldn't call it a flub; it's a ~6 pt error more than 3 weeks out! But it is an interesting question https://t.co/VR6b2HaAZq — PolitiTweet.org

Curious about Nevada and if he's implemented any changes since 2018. One of the only flubs from him. https://t.co/Ada7Ger84O

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the post-election analysis, the explanation is quite straightforward: we systematically underestimated turnout, and particularly Hispanic turnout. And by a *lot* in some districts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated