Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Sep 09 12:43:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Whatever you think of the USC poll overall, I would certainly take its change over time seriously. It's a panel survey, so most changes aren't due to changes in the sample, and shift in USC predicted change in the average in '16 pretty well — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Decent set of polls for Biden this morning. The two headlines: --USC shows RNC bounce fading out --Marist has Biden+9 in PA, which helps nudge the average there back toward expectations. That said, not weighting by education remains a big cause for caution with this survey — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Marist appears to do two things: --they weight by region, which is helpful but insufficient --I *think* they stopped calling out of state cells, which is hard to defend but *could* cancel out not weighting by edu. The hope is two wrongs make a right? https://t.co/8rFBVn5Hb4 — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Can you speak a bit ut more to whatever Marist does that they claim makes the poll the same as weighting… https://t.co/7feSoQM9sU

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated