Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Sep 09 12:40:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Decent set of polls for Biden this morning. The two headlines: --USC shows RNC bounce fading out --Marist has Biden+9 in PA, which helps nudge the average there back toward expectations. That said, not weighting by education remains a big cause for caution with this survey — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Add this to your list protracted election night scenarios: ME ranked choice in the presidential race stands, and ME2 flips in a post-election instant run off https://t.co/VW8jhW05Y0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Whatever you think of the USC poll overall, I would certainly take its change over time seriously. It's a panel survey, so most changes aren't due to changes in the sample, and shift in USC predicted change in the average in '16 pretty well — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated