Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Tue Sep 01 12:23:25 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Oh one other important caveat I should have mentioned: I am only looking at pollsters that have at least 30 final polls, just bc a long time ago 538 wrote that they considered that the threshold for whether are results are predictive — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Let's say a poll is Clinton+1, the average of other polls is Clinton+2, and the result is Trump+1. You have beaten the average of other polls by 1 percentage point. There are just 8 pollsters that haven beaten the average, on average. https://t.co/CqeUNYeSDZ — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn What do you mean by "beaten the average?"

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Looking farther, there are another 3 pollsters in the 20s by this measure. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated