Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Aug 29 16:10:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But since we're bored waiting for our computers to run some code, let's just suppose for a moment that Trump does get a bounce and it's exactly as Morning Consult depicts here, and we've got Biden+6 by the end of next week. What would I take from it? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As I said before the conventions, we're probably not going to have a clear picture of the race until a week after Labor Day. For one, we're just going to need to wait to see whether any bumps persist. More importantly, I just don't expect too many high-quality polls until then — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Leaving aside the context of a 'bounce' for a second: Biden+6 is a tough number for analysts. Biden's still the fav, but it's getting into the zone where it doesn't take *that* much of a polling error with *that* much of an Electoral College edge for Trump to get a close race — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 29, 2020 Hibernated