Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Aug 27 14:42:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @gelliottmorris @On_Politike if you *are* invested in selling your model of N=18 as predictive forecasting, then i think you probably do need to more or less make stuff up. there are smarter and dumber ways to make things up, of course. but is any of it principled, exactly? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @gelliottmorris @On_Politike for me, part of the answer is that this shouldn't be framed as predictive forecasting, but instead as something more like descriptive analytics: a friendly tool to help get a sense of things ("if polls are as good as in the past, then...") https://t.co/qKHVElpEwL — PolitiTweet.org

A minor point from afar on the debates I see about the fundamentals after yesterday's Q2 numbers: the problem isn't… https://t.co/07CcGhL55N

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @BrendanNyhan @On_Politike in my world, you don't call this a forecast and you don't call it a prediction https://t.co/AYZ5DO4bpC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated