Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Aug 27 14:36:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @On_Politike and to the extent you appear to have any doubts about the representativeness of the past, like polarization, you think you can address it with a more sophisticated model rather than by acknowledging the deeper uncertainty posed by a changing world — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @On_Politike broadly speaking, i think the answer to those two questions is 'yeah, kinda' and 'maybe.' i think that's the fivethirtyeight answer, too, more or less. i think your answer is basically yes and yes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @gelliottmorris @On_Politike for me, part of the answer is that this shouldn't be framed as predictive forecasting, but instead as something more like descriptive analytics: a friendly tool to help get a sense of things ("if polls are as good as in the past, then...") https://t.co/qKHVElpEwL — PolitiTweet.org

A minor point from afar on the debates I see about the fundamentals after yesterday's Q2 numbers: the problem isn't… https://t.co/07CcGhL55N

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated