
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@gelliottmorris You can also think of this in terms of the demographic shocks. *You* know in '16 there's a risk of a Trump surge among white no col voters, but maybe not other kinds. How does the model account for that risk but *not* the ones you *don't* find plausible, like FL Hispanic surge? — PolitiTweet.org