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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Aug 27 03:02:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris not exactly sure what the comparison is here; between 'nowcast' and forecast? i don't think any number--10 v 25-- is intuitively right or wrong, and the only thing i'm confident about is that we don't have anywhere near enough data to answer it with confidence — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, they didn't use approval in '16 and presidential approval is not exactly the same as the 'fundamentals,' either. It's so correlated with vote choice that you're getting close to modeling off of the dependent variable here — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @bryanwx: Kudos to @NHC_Atlantic for their forecasts for Hurricane Laura. The landfall area was first in the cone on Friday, August 21st… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Retweet Hibernated