
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
There are some valid differences: --538 shifted from 'polls only' to 'polls plus' as default. polls plus in '16 was clinton 73.5% on 8/26 --polling and priors now support a Trump E.C. edge, not yet true in '16 --Biden penalized post DNC https://t.co/KNFyvgkIfw — PolitiTweet.org
G. Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
IMO this is pretty fundamentally irreconcilable 538, Aug 26 2016: Clinton +4, 18% other/undecided, 81% to win 538,… https://t.co/VbXUF2BHaN