Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Aug 12 19:15:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris and if i ever do a forecasting model, it would probably be an ensemble of various choices--probably inspired by my initial weather interest--rather than commit to one and pretend that my choices are certain — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris when you have models for this purpose, you don't really commit to one model! i had one with or without polarization, to take the example here. that's kind of useful if you want to know whether a CD like NC09 is competitive under certain circumstances. https://t.co/roF73CwVfO — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn @gelliottmorris Would you mind if I asked what your 2018 house model said? Just curious more than anything else.

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RDD pollsters, like Marist, take a sample of adults and then screen to RVs based on self-reported registration. If your respondents are likelier to be RVs than the actual population, your screen will not create a large enough RV-adult gap https://t.co/liHos3VgpA — PolitiTweet.org

NPR/Marist just out shows Biden leading 53%-42%. But anyone else find it strange their sample of RVs is 37% non-w… https://t.co/zcJZMEthZX

Posted Aug. 14, 2020 Hibernated