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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Aug 12 19:14:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris when you have models for this purpose, you don't really commit to one model! i had one with or without polarization, to take the example here. that's kind of useful if you want to know whether a CD like NC09 is competitive under certain circumstances. https://t.co/roF73CwVfO — PolitiTweet.org

Anand Mehta @anandsequitur

@Nate_Cohn @gelliottmorris Would you mind if I asked what your 2018 house model said? Just curious more than anything else.

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris there are times where i do it: i had a house model in '18. it's really hard to think about house control without one, given how many seats there are, the sparse polling, etc. for a presidential race? not a ton of value add over a polling average and common sense, imo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris and if i ever do a forecasting model, it would probably be an ensemble of various choices--probably inspired by my initial weather interest--rather than commit to one and pretend that my choices are certain — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated