Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Aug 12 18:46:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris for me, this is the kind of uncertainty that matters most. maybe it's because i read history a lot. maybe it's because i was interested in weather before politics, and see what you can't get here. but none of your tweets or methods seem focused on it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris it does not seem to me that this kind of uncertainty figures in your thinking. it's not going to come up with out of sample cross validation on N=17. regularization doesn't fix it. but it's there and it's big at N=17 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris instead, i see concern about underfitting? what? like, a good model probably should be underfit at N=17! why would you assume you've seen anything near the full range of possibilities — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated