Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The NYT thing is hard for me to take very seriously, but I would guess/hope that it is not a major factor in adding uncertainty. Historically, it doesn't really do a great job of predicting volatility, after all — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris I think you're overfitting models on a small dataset and using regularization and out-of-sample cross-validation to delude yourself into thinking that's not what your doing. It just doesn't come close to approximating real world uncertainty — PolitiTweet.org