Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Aug 10 18:12:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Ultimately, the range of options under-consideration by pollsters today aren't centered on the population mean--no education weights means a long tail toward a Silicon Valley electorate. That's why weighting is necessary and why it would risk *bias* in the average. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I agree with the default assumption that diversity is good for averages, but this is taking it too far for me. Do we think averages would be better if half of pollsters stopped weighting on race and age, just to get some extra methodological diversity? https://t.co/RgDguQOWKu — PolitiTweet.org

One reason I don't get too riled up about whether a pollster weights by education is that general, a consensus metr… https://t.co/Ofl9wjWkVg

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Leaving aside this specific example aside, there is an interesting conversation to be had here about why polling averages work nowadays, and what that means for how you want to think about constructing a polling average. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated