Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Aug 07 21:00:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the past, we'd just clock in the 'early voters' as 100% likely to vote and slowly degrade the turnout probability of those who didn't vote early to match an overall turnout estimate. I'm not sure that'll fly if absentee voting is super lopsided. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We'll handle the latter just fine. The former is tougher and it's something I'll need to think about. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@pkerseydw 'handling it' means down-weighting early voting democrats in our polls, so that would be a poor interpretation — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated