Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Aug 07 20:15:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Random thought: a lopsided Democratic edge in early voting may be a bit of an underrated challenge for pollsters. It's a bit dangerous to have one party lock in its votes, while the other party's voters don't get that kind of boost in their turnout probability — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nickgourevitch We could get COVID under control if Beyonce would finally improve her image... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Let's take an extreme example to illustrate: suppose a 50-50 race with *100%* turnout, and suppose 100% of Party A votes early, while no one in party B votes early. That poll will be biased toward party A, unless it assigned 100% turnout to all of party B (which wouldn't happen) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated