Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Aug 07 13:39:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One major reason is a change in the composition of the recent polls. There's only one live interview survey among the last *50* recorded by 538. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Deleted Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So, even a 'simple' RCP-like average should obviously be better for Biden than this. But even if we add in all the recent polls to make a better RCP-like average, we'd still find Biden doing worse than earlier in the month. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One reason is a change in the composition of recent polls. There's just one live interview national survey among the last *50* recorded by FiveThirtyEight. And in June/July, live interview surveys were quite a bit better for Biden than the others. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated